This is entirely based on predictions of my own and what I have seen people post in social media. But I think some of these will come up quite a bit in conversation!
Smarter Balanced Assessment Scores: These should be out in mid-September or later. We will know what the true opt-out numbers are for Delaware, along with if the test was a success or if Mark Murphy’s predictions of 70% non-proficiency were on the mark. Or maybe they were even worse. If the scores are low, we will get the very Markellian chant of “C’mon guys, it’s only the first year. There were some flaws, but we have our top people on it. But it’s very important that we have this data so we can see where our greatest needs are.” Murphy will agree, as will the State Board of Education, and the DOE, and the Delaware Business Roundtable, and so on and so on.
Charter Schools: there will be at least one major charter story involving financial abuse of taxpayer funds. I’m just going with the trajectory here folks! At last count, there are still six more reports coming from the State Auditor’s office, none of which involve traditional school districts, all charters.
Wilmington Redistricting/Priority Schools: This will be the hotbed of activity in Delaware education this fall. A lot of the Red Clay Consolidated School District’s demands for this will be adequate funding. But with the state not even giving Red Clay the promised priority school amounts, will Red Clay be willing to take a chance like this? And will Christina, already having many financial issues, be willing to just give up all their Wilmington schools? Will any 3rd parties enter the landscape?
Opt-out/Refuse The Test Delaware: This could go either way. People want the General Assembly to override Markell’s veto of House Bill 50. But they are still very angry about the veto. Will the release of SBAC scores cause more parents to join the Refuse crowd? And will the Refuse crowd get a bit more aggressive when the stories start about schools bullying parents?
Christina School District: Anything can happen here. Add some board turmoil, a Superintendent review, funding cuts, teacher layoffs and whatever else comes down the pike, and this will be a cauldron of controversy. Can the district unite and come together to blaze a new and daring path?
Delaware DOE: They are going to do something that makes people upset. It’s what they do and it comes with the territory. But with everything they did in the past year, will the School Accountability Report Card push districts to the edge?
Rodel/Vision 2099/etc.: They will announce a brand new marketing push to help get the students of Delaware where they need to be in the next ten years. For the weeks following this, we will hear numerous people saying “didn’t they just do this last year?”
ESEA Reauthorization: The U.S. House and Senate will come together and go back and forth adding and subtracting from a joint bill. Will opt-out still be in play? How much power will the US DOE lose at the end of the day? Will the compromises not really change much at all? And whatever happens, will President Obama even sign it?